Sunday, October 24, 2010

What a BAD BEAT with Michigan State just trying to run a play to run out the clock up by one, Northwestern was out of time-outs and it was third down. Two missed tackles later, Michigan State scores a touchdown, that actually gave NW a chance to win by going up 8 and they got the ball back. But, NW +6 was burnt, this after NW was up 17-0 getting six points at home in the first half. Michigan State also had a fake punt for a key first down. Anyway, went 0-1-1 on Saturday, making misterfootballfanatic 20-11-2 on the season (22-11-2) when factoring in the two DOUBLE DOWN plays that won earlier this year. On to today's selections that I feel very good about.

Take NE/SD UNDER 48.5. The past three times these two teams met, it went UNDER the total. The UNDER is 8-2-1 the past 11 games where NE played the AFC West. On top of that, San Diego has the #1 rated defense and they are hurting on offense. Malcolm Floyd is Doubtful, Antonio Gates is doubtful, #2 WR Naanee is out. I like NE to barely win, but the play is the UNDER. Prediction NE 24, SD 20.

Take Buffalo +14 at Baltimore. Buffalo has averaged 28.5 points a game since QB Ryan Fitzgerald took over at QB. The Bills are 6-2-1 ATS after a BYE, which they had last week, so they also had two weeks to prepare for this one. Another thing, the Bills have not covered the spread yet this year! They are due. When these two team meet, it's usually a low scoring game, with the last four going UNDER the total, which I like, but the play here is Buffalo. Prediction Baltimore 20, Buffalo 17.

Take Cleveland +14 at New Orleans. Believe it or not, Cleveland is 7-2 SU all time at New Orleans! Plus, Cleveland is 7-2 ATS their last 9 vs NO as a dog. They have also won the last two times they played there. New Orleans beat Division rival TB last week, and plays Pitt next week, this is a trap (or sandwich) game for the Saints. I look for the Saints to sort of overlook the Browns. Prediction New Orleans 27, Cleveland 20.

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Continued good luck and let's win some more money.
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