Sunday, December 12, 2010

Another DOUBLE DOWN WINNER last Sunday with Oakland +13 beating San Diego to a pulp and winning outright! Last week 3-1 ATS, season 54-30-4. On to what appears to be a rather crazy NFL Sunday, 12-12-10.

First of all, the NYG/MIN game will not be played today and will not be played at the Metrodome in Minnesota!. The roof caved in and the Giants are stranded in Kansas City with no outdoor gear, their plane was diverted to KC due to bad weather. My guess is they will play on Monday at Ford field in Detroit.

In Chicago, the winds are 30-50 mph and roughly zero wind chill. There could be backward punts, very difficult to pass, tough break for Brady and the Patriots. The OVER/UNDER line has moved from 41.5 on Monday to 37.5 as of this writing, and I expect people to take the UNDER. Even though the conditions appear to represent an UNDER, beware when everyone goes one way. On to today's selections in the NFL.

Take Carolina + 8 at home to Atlanta. I know, it sounds crazy but get this, Carolina is 7-0 ATS in their last seven home games in December. It's bad weather out there too, rainy and windy. Both teams will have to run which will keep the game closer. Carolina has Jonathan Stewart back and they can run, they will be starting QB Jimmy Clausen. Atlanta appears to have a big edge, but they are a different team on the road and this game is outside to boot. Prediction Atlanta 20, Carolina 17.

Take Denver -3 at Arizona. Teams firing their coaches are 2-0 this year the following week, and I expect that trend to continue with the firing of Josh McDaniels, who was in over his head. Kyle Orton is a good QB and Arizona is going to start QB Skelton, with no running game and no defense. You think the Cards miss Kurt Warner? Prediction Denver 30, Arizona 20.

Take Phil -3 at Dallas. Philly has had 10 days to prepare for this game and they are fighting for their playoff lives. Dallas has struggled all year vs. mobile QB's, and none are more mobile than Michael Vick. Philly is also 7-1 ATS in their last 8 December road games, so coach Andy Reid knows how to motivate his team down the stretch. Plus, Dallas lost stud rookie WR Dez Bryant for the season and they are still starting aging QB Jon Kitna. Prediction Phil 34, Dallas 20.

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